Business

Nigeria’s economic growth projected at 3.1% in 2024 amidst global slowdowns

The United Nations World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) report for 2024 indicates a slight increase in Nigeria’s growth rate, projected to rise from 2.9% in 2023 to 3.1% in 2024.  

The report shows that Africa’s growth rate is to rise from 3.3% in 2023 to 3.5% in 2024. In contrast, global growth is expected to decelerate from 2.7% in 2023 to 2.4% in 2024. 

The report reveals that Least Developed Countries (LDCs) are anticipated to achieve a growth rate of 5% in 2024. However, this falls short of the 7% growth target outlined in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG). 

According to the report, policy reforms enacted by the Government of Nigeria in 2023, especially in the hydrocarbon sector, have contributed to a moderate improvement in the country’s growth prospects for 2024, with GDP growth forecast at 3.1%.  

International trade as a growth driver is losing steam, with global trade growth weakening to 0.6% in 2023, and projected to recover to 2.4% in 2024.  

Factors impeding trade growth include shifts in consumer spending, geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and the lingering effects of the pandemic. 

Developing countries face challenges such as high external debt levels and rising interest rates, making access to international capital markets difficult. Declines in official development assistance and foreign direct investment for low-income countries contribute to debt sustainability challenges. 

The report also underscores the worsening impact of climate change, with extreme weather conditions in 2023 leading to devastating wildfires, floods, and droughts globally.

These events have direct economic consequences, affecting infrastructure, agriculture, and livelihoods. Studies suggest substantial global economic losses due to climate change, emphasizing the urgent need for mitigation efforts.